Originally posted by Wondering:
I agree with Ray and Fr. Anthony, but I do have some good news.
1. In the US, membership in Protestant churches is on the decline.
2. In the US, the turnover rate in Protestant churches is currently between 3 and 6 months.
3. In the US, membership in Orthodox and Catholic churches is on the rise.
4. Immigration does not account for all the increase as it is larger than the net influx of immigrants.
What that means for us is that they are loosing members and we are gaining them. [snip]
Dear Wondering,
I would disagree with some of your statements, based upon the statistics on religion that I have read.
I have not read anything to suggest that the turnover rate at Protestant churches is high. I would like to know where you got that statistic, because it would be interesting to see. I�m also curious if people have personally experienced that or heard about that. Also, where do the ex-Catholics go after they leave a Protestant Church ? Back to the Catholic Church ? To another Church ?
From what I have read, it is true that the number of Americans who call themselves �Protestant� is declining. However, it is also clear that many who used to call themselves Protestants are now calling themselves Evangelical or Pentecostal or Non-Denominational. There are also more Mormons. Hence, instead, it seems that there are plenty of Protestants (non-Catholic and non-Orthodox Christians) in America who are calling themselves different things.
More specifically, it seems that there are five trends currently occurring in American religion:
1. The number of liberal Protestants is decreasing.
2. The number of conservative Protestants / Mormons is increasing.
3. The number of Catholics is increasing.
4. However, the percentage of Americans who are Catholic has remained steady for the last 40 years (about 24%).
5. The number of Americans who profess no religion is increasing.
See the following:
the CUNY study
http://www.gc.cuny.edu/faculty/research_briefs/aris/key_findings.htm the Glenmary study
http://www.glenmary.org/grc/RCMS_2000/findings.htm the CARA study
http://cara.georgetown.edu/bulletin/index.htm the Gallup polls
http://www.pollingreport.com/religion.htm (at the bottom of the page)
the Barna polls
http://www.barna.org (click the tab that says �Barna by Topic�)
in general
http://www.adherents.com It would be tempting to say that America is polarizing in religion along liberal and conservative lines. In other words, it is tempting to say that those who are conservative tend to be more religious and that those who are more liberal tend to be more secular. And, there is an element of truth to that.
However, I�m not sure the situation is clear-cut.
For example, a lot of people who identify themselves to be members of a religion don�t practice it very much or very regularly. From the statistics that I have seen, attendance at weekly worship in America seems to be hovering at around 45%. (Gallup) This includes Roman Catholics, whose attendance at weekly Mass has dropped from about 65% in 1965 to anywhere between 45 % (Gallup) to as little as 33 % (CARA).
For another example, a lot of people from supposedly conservative churches have non-conservative views on abortion and homosexuality. (Barna)
For a third example, it will be interesting to see if liberal Protestant churches can reverse this trend and gain members by appealing to liberals who are spiritual enough to want to be religious. Recently, there were television advertising campaigns by the United Methodist Church and the United Church of Christ (two liberal Protestant churches). I wonder if those advertising campaigns will translate into new members (or, at least, holding their own)?
And as for the Catholics, their numbers are increasing but their percentage of the American population has remained constant over the last 40 years: about 24 %. Yet, at the same time, the population of America has increased. Furthermore, much of that increase has been from immigration from traditionally Catholic parts of the world (Latin America). Indeed, at the National Council of Catholic Bishops reports at its website (
http://www.usccb.org/comm/cip.shtml#toc1 ), 71 % of the growth of the American Catholic Church since 1960 has been due to the growth Hispanics in the U.S. population overall. Yet, despite this increasing number of Catholics, the percentage of Americans who are Catholics has remained steady over the last 40 years or so: about 24% . Furthermore, anecdotal evidence tells that many members of the Evangelical and other conservative Protestant churches are ex-Catholics, and many non-religious people are ex-Catholics. So, overall, I conclude that the American Catholic Church is gaining many new people, but it is also losing many people.
So, it makes for interesting times in American religion. The hottest action in American religion these days seems to be: (1) the growth of Evangelical, Pentecostal and Non-Denominational churches and (2) the growth of secularism. The rest seems to be in flux.
Just my two cents.
-- John