I have a strong hunch that the Charismatic and Pentecostal explosion is only temporary, and that it will begin contracting pretty soon. Emotions can only carry a movement so far, and once the emotion and the fire dries up, what then?
I fear that these movements will actually hasten the collapse of real religion.
In my own country, the Philippines, which is one of the centers of Catholic charismaticism, Catholic charismatic numbers are actually at a free fall, with thousands either getting burned out, disillusioned, becoming more traditional, or simply abandoning religious belief altogether.
Our two largest Catholic charismatic groups -- El Shaddai and Couples for Christ -- are both rapidly shrinking, the former due to its direputable political manuevering and financial scandals, the latter due to an acrimonious "civil war" among its leaders. Both used to have more than a million members each, the former boasting as many as 10 million members. Today, both movements have contracted into hundreds of thousands -- and are getting smaller by the day. The largest Evangelical-Charismatic groups ("Jesus Is Lord", "Jesus Miracle Crusade", etc.) have also lost a large portion (if not the majority) of their following due to their leaders' political games.
Instead, in the last five years or so, it is irreligion, secularistic attitudes and disbelief that have grown phenomenally. The collapse of many of the charismatic and evangelical groups seem to have actually hastened the advent of secularism into the Philippines, since these religious movements made too many Filipinos think that religion is primarily a matter of feelings and emotions, and not about real commitment or the conversion of the mind to the teaching of the Gospel.
This is a very interesting post. Shame on me for not noticing it sooner.
I spoke with an Orthodox priest when I was in Colorado Spring earlier this year. He said that a lot of the people are like what you described. They are people who became burned out on religion after being involved in charismatic and evangelical churches -- of which there are many in Colorado Springs.
I have heard anecdotal accounts of Catholics in Brazil coming back to the Catholic Church after having been with the Pentecostals.
Yet, Pentecostalism has been around for a century now, and it is growing, so it must crossing the generation gap somewhere.
I would also agree that this is not necessarily the same as the liberal;/conservative divide. I'm groping for the right words here . . . but it seems to be more about having a direct, personal, emotional spiritual experience (on the charismatic side) versus an established, liturgical, traditional spiritual experience (on the side of the mainline churches).
I would be very interested in learning more about all of this.
-- John